Somalia will likely avoid widespread famine, due to scaled up humanitarian assistance and marginally improved rainfall; however, the situation within the country remains critical. After three consecutive years of drought, millions of Somalis are facing acute food insecurity and hunger, and the risk of famine remains in several areas of the country.

Urgent international aid is needed in Somalia to avert famine and widespread starvation, according to a new alert issued last week by FEWS Net. While humanitarian aid increased throughout this fall and has so far prevented IPC Phase 5 (Famine)-level food insecurity from being reached, experts warn that the southern and central areas of the country will likely reach such acute levels in April-June 2023.

East Africa facing acute food insecurity as drought continues, alerts FEWS and FAO

The 2015-2016 El Niño cycle could bring significant flooding to areas of the eastern Horn of Africa, according to a new FEWS Net Alert released this week. Southern Ethiopia, eastern Kenya, and south-central Somalia are among the areas likely to be affected. FEWS NET warns that the situation could mirror the El Niño-driven floods and subsequent food insecurity seen in 1997, when flooding displaced close to 2 million people throughout the region and led to widespread crop and livestock loss.