The IPC conducted a projection update analysis for the period of January to June 2026, focused on the provinces of North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri and Tanganyika. More than 9.9 million people in these four areas will continue to experience high levels of acute food insecurity in this period. Although this represents a slight improvement of 1.8 percent compared with the September 2025 projection for the same period, the situation still reflects a deterioration from the current analysis, underscoring the persistent severity of food insecurity in the region.
At the national level, approximately 26.5 million people (23 percent of the analysed population) are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity between January and June 2026, including more than 3.6 million people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 22.9 million people in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis).
Key drivers of the high levels of acute food insecurity include relentless armed conflict, and economic and climatic shocks. The food security situation is further undermined by limited access to essential services and weakened infrastructure, gaps in social protection systems and insufficient coverage of humanitarian assistance.